Mar. 14th, 2023

canyonwalker: wiseguy (Default)
"How Much Should You Worry About Bank Failure?" reads a typical news headline I've seen over a dozen slight variations of in the past 24 hours. These are part of a predictable news cycle after the sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank late last week. As usual for articles about finance in the general media, writers get it wrong. Curiously in this case they manage to both over- and under-report what the risk to the average person is.

Generally speaking, your savings are safe. The FDIC insures bank accounts for up to $250,000. This organization was created in 1933 after the widespread bank failures of the Great Depression wiped out millions of ordinary Americans' life savings. There's emphasis on ordinary. In 1933 the covered amount was only $2,500. It has been increased over time. The last increase was in late 2008, during the Global Financial Crisis, when it was raised from $100k to $250k.

"What if I've got more than $250k?" you might wonder. Well, first, congratulations! Most people don't have that much. Second, it depends on what form your money is in and where you keep it. This coverage does not protect investments; it protects cash accounts, like your checking account and savings account. The cool thing is the limit is per account, so if you have more than $250k you can split it across multiple accounts, each with a balance below that threshold, and protect it all.

For example, in my family we have 7 FDIC insured accounts. We could protect up to $1.75 million in them. We have way less cash than that, though. We don't even have $250k between all of them. We have those different accounts because they're titled differently (some in my name, some in my spouse's, some joint) and because they offer different benefits (unlimited check writing vs. high interest). But if we had $1.75 million to protect, we could do it with those seven accounts.

There's a practical limit to how far you can divide a huge amount of wealth to protect it in $250k envelopes. If you have $25 million cash, you'd need 100 accounts to protect it all. That's not feasible. But that's also the point. FDIC insurance is to protect ordinary Americans, not the One Percent.

Now, while having $25 million in checking is an enormous amount for an individual it is not that much for a business. And that's where this category of news articles understates the risk to ordinary Americans. While your savings are safe, your employer's are not.

That was especially the case with Silicon Valley Bank, which served primarily corporate accounts. Dozens, even hundreds, of business could have lost most of their money— money they use for things like payroll.

Yes, those businesses were also protected up to $250k per account, but $250k doesn't go as far in business as in kitchen-table economics. For example, my company— which has/had its payroll accounts at SVB— has about 350 US employees. At next payroll, that $250k from the FDIC means there's only $714 to pay each employee... and then the company is broke.

That's why the federal government stepped up and covered the full amount of accounts at SVB. Because if suddenly lots of people are losing their jobs because their companies suddenly lose 99% of their assets, it's an economic catastrophe.


canyonwalker: Sullivan, a male golden eagle at UC Davis Raptor Center (Golden Eagle)
Episode 9 of The Pacific, "Okinawa", follows very much in the footsteps of the previous episode, "Iwo Jima". Historically the two campaigns were pretty much one right after the other. Each entailed weeks of pitched battles.

Brutal combat has been the norm across this series. In Okinawa it reaches a new level of brutality. American soldiers are shocked and dismayed to see Japanese soldiers using the local civilian population as human shields... and worse, as human bombs.

Eugene Sledge is the main viewpoint character in this episode. Sledge, previously the mild mannered new recruit from a genteel family in Mobile, Alabama is now the grizzled combat veteran showing the newer recruits how to survive in brutal combat. The new level of brutality really gets to him, though; particularly seeing civilians exploited as human shields.

The episode ends about 6 weeks after the Battle of Okinawa is concluded. The Marines still on the island are climbing up on trucks to be sent somewhere else. An officer tells them, "They dropped some new kind of bomb" that destroyed an entire city. That would be the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, Japan on August 6, 1945.

BTW, some historians hold that the brutality of combat, and the Japanese Army ethos never to surrender, seen on Okinawa influenced American military leaders to drop the bombs. Prior to those bombs the plan had been to use Okinawa's harbor and airfield as an critical launching point for an assault on the Island of Japan that would involve 3,000,000 US soldiers.



canyonwalker: A toast with 2 glasses of beer. Cheers! (beer tasting)
A few weekends ago I did a gonzo beer-buying shopping trip. I scooped up 6 or 7 packs of beer. A few were beers I've liked in my Beer Tasting 2022 project and want to keep in my cellar. The others were beers I want to add into the competition. This week's competition involves a beer I've been wanting to try for several months now but can't always find in stock at the stores, Pizza Port Chronic Ale.

Pizza Port Chronic Ale vs. the reigning champ of amber ale, Fat Tire (Mar 2023)

Pizza Port is a brewery down in Carlsbad, California, about 30 miles north of San Diego. Why do they call it Pizza Port? I dunno. I just kind of figure their brewery serves pizza. Their Chronic Ale is an amber ale. I had it once before, years ago, on tap at a restaurant up here in the Bay Area. I was excited to see it sold in cans for retail.

Because Chronic Ale is an amber ale I had to pair it against my reigning champion of amber ales, Fat Tire. I did give Chronic Ale a bit of a home field advantage, though. I tasted both beers with pizza! 🍕🍻😂

The first tasting round, though, was the solo round. I tried each beer without food. The Chronic tasted a bit harsh, but then so did the Fat Tire. Amber ales can be a little strong without food, especially the Fat Tire which has a swish of a hops sourness that tastes a bit harsh on its own but serves as a great palate cleanser between bites when eating.

What was surprising was how similar these two taste. They're not impossible to differentiate, like how North Coast's Laguna Baja is basically a clone of Negra Modelo, but they're close. The slight difference I found is that Pizza Port had... more going on in its flavor. That "more" wasn't necessarily a positive, it was just... more. The Fat Tire had a simpler flavor mix but was also slightly smoother. ...Better integrated, perhaps.

With pizza, the comparison held. Both beers are good beers. They're very close overall. Pizza Port had slightly more going on in its flavors, but Fat Tire tasted just slightly smoother and better put together. I downed half a pizza along with these two beers and still couldn't decide which one I'd rather have next time. For Chronic Ale to come out and fight the reigning champ like this is impressive. I call it a draw!

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